The cost of deforestation and mining

As if climate change wasn’t enough…

Heavy monsoon rains and flash floods devastated Pakistan in August, killing at least 739 people since late June and causing widespread destruction and displacement. The northwestern province of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) was the worst affected, with torrential rains between August 15 and 19 alone killing 368 people, injuring 182, and damaging over 1,300 homes and nearly 100 schools. Entire villages, such as Bishnoi in Buner district, were swept away within minutes by torrents carrying massive boulders and debris, obliterating communities and infrastructure. Children bore a significant share of the toll, with at least 21 deaths reported among them in KP during this period. Meanwhile, urban flooding in Karachi killed at least six people amid road inundation and power outages. Punjab and Sindh provinces also reported severe flooding along major rivers, displacing thousands of families and damaging extensive cropland. The National Disaster Management Authority warned that heavy rains would continue into early September, increasing the risk of further floods, landslides, and crop losses.

These tragic events highlight the acute vulnerability of Pakistan’s landscape and population to flooding, which scientific evidence traces to human-induced environmental degradation, particularly rampant deforestation and destructive mining practices in mountainous regions like KP. Weather patterns intensified by climate change have worsened these underlying vulnerabilities.

Trees act as natural buffers during heavy rains by intercepting rainfall, stabilizing soil with their roots, and reducing runoff velocity. However, decades of unregulated tree cutting for timber and to clear land have severely reduced forest cover in KP and surrounding flood-prone foothills. This deforestation exposes soil surfaces to erosion, decreases water infiltration, and promotes rapid runoff, leading to flash floods and landslides. Studies have linked the decline of forest and grassland cover around Babusar Top and other areas to more frequent and intense flood events, as exposed slopes generate sediment and debris that clog rivers and damage settlements downstream.

Worsening the problem, aggressive marble mining and stone crushing operations burst across KP’s mountainsides. These activities blast away rock faces and remove vegetation, disrupting natural water channels and destabilizing fragile slopes. Deep ditches replace natural rainwater khwars (channels), changing flow patterns and accelerating sediment-laden runoff. The mining dust harms local biodiversity and degrading land stability causes more frequent and severe debris flows during monsoon rains. Mining-induced landslides and sediment overload on rivers exacerbate flooding and increase damage, as was observed during the 2022 Swat Valley floods, where tens of thousands of cubic meters of debris created natural dams that led to catastrophic upstream flooding and destructive downstream sediment deposits.

The immense social and economic toll of such floods is staggering. In August alone, official reports recorded hundreds of fatalities and thousands of homes destroyed. Many schools were damaged or repurposed as shelters, depriving children of education and safe spaces. Livestock losses threaten rural livelihoods, and infrastructural damages set back local economies. Entire communities have been displaced, and left reliant on perilous relief operations. The frequent flooding has exposed weaknesses in urban planning, enforcement of environmental regulations, and river management policies, allowing illegal encroachments and unplanned developments that obstruct river courses and increase flood risk. Because most rivers in Pakistan naturally meander and require space to flow safely, so blocking or narrowing them through construction worsens flooding damage.

In Buner district’s Bishnoi village, about 80 to 90 households were mostly wiped out by sudden flash floods that swept away homes and fields in August 2025. Survivors described the disaster as akin to “doomsday,” with raging waters carrying huge stones and uprooting everything in their path. Rescue operations proceeded with minimal heavy equipment as locals dug through debris hoping to find survivors.

The frequency and severity of floods in Pakistan are showing a clear trend of increasing, with the “gap” between major flood events narrowing significantly. Such changes require commitment from local populations, government institutions, and international partners. Investment in reforestation and conservation, sustainable mining practices, flood infrastructure, and emergency response capabilities must be prioritized. Only through coordinated efforts can Pakistan avert the cycle of increasing floods and build resilience against the mounting challenges posed by climate change and environmental degradation.

Nearby in Swat Valley, a school principal’s quick evacuation of nearly 900 students saved lives just moments before floodwaters tore through half the school building. Yet tragedies unfolded too, like a family of four drowned in the valley’s floods, underscoring the human cost amidst the relentless monsoon season characterised by sudden cloudbursts with rainfall exceeding 100 mm per hour.

Climate change compounds these vulnerabilities through altered weather patterns, including intensifying monsoon rains and accelerating glacier melt in northern Pakistan’s mountainous regions. Glaciologists link increasing meltwater flows to destabilizing slopes and surging debris flux into river systems. This added water volume and sediment load overwhelm flood defenses and natural river capacities, creating conditions ripe for severe floods and landslides. Pakistan’s annual monsoon season, responsible for roughly 75 percent of South Asia’s rainfall, has become more unpredictable and extreme, as evidenced by the 50 percent increase in rainfall recorded in 2025 over the same period last year.

Pakistan has suffered billions of dollars in losses due to damage to homes, infrastructure, agricultural land, and livelihoods caused by these floods. Hundreds have died, with many more injured or displaced, requiring extensive humanitarian aid and long-term resettlement and rebuilding efforts. The profound scale of destruction underscores the urgent need for policy reform and environmental stewardship focused on reforestation, strict regulation and monitoring of mining and construction activities, sustainable land use planning, and robust climate adaptation strategies.

The 2025 floods again demonstrate that the worsening flood disaster is not only a result of climate forces but a failure to manage ecological resources and land responsibly. Human activities like deforestation and extensive mining in KP have altered mountain landscapes in ways that increase flood hazard and severity dramatically. The disrupted natural drainage systems, increased sediment runoff, and blocked river channels due to illegal construction have multiplied the damaging effects of heavy rains. The science and recent flood events collectively reveal that we bear the principal responsibility for these recurring tragedies. Mitigation demands immediate, coordinated action to repair ecosystems, enforce environmental laws, and prepare communities for inevitable future storms.

Pakistan’s recent flood crisis is a warning and a call to action. Without a fundamental change in how natural resources are managed, particularly in ecologically sensitive mountain regions, the country will continue to face escalating flood losses and human suffering. The floods of August 2025— and those before it— are stark evidence that unsustainable deforestation and mineral extraction pose serious, ongoing risks to lives, property, and economic stability. Protecting mountain forests and regulating mining in regions like KP are indispensable steps toward restoring nature’s flood resilience and ensuring Pakistan’s future safety and prosperity.

The frequency and severity of floods in Pakistan are showing a clear trend of increasing, with the “gap” between major flood events narrowing significantly. Such changes require commitment from local populations, government institutions, and international partners. Investment in reforestation and conservation, sustainable mining practices, flood infrastructure, and emergency response capabilities must be prioritized. Only through coordinated efforts can Pakistan avert the cycle of increasing floods and build resilience against the mounting challenges posed by climate change and environmental degradation.

This integrated perspective linking recent tragedies to scientific evidence and human actions provides essential insight for policymakers, practitioners, and citizens seeking to understand and solve Pakistan’s persistent flood vulnerability. 

Fayyaz Salih Hussain
Fayyaz Salih Hussain
The writer is a Ph.D Scholar at the National Centre of Excellence in Analytical Chemistry, University of Sindh, Jamshoro, and can be reached at [email protected]

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