Why Are Societies with Thousands of Years of Civilization Failing?

The fall of a great civilization is never a sudden explosion; it’s a slow, tragic erosion. The world’s oldest societies— China, India, Persia, and Egypt— once shaped the very foundations of human progress. Today, they stand at a crossroads, struggling under the weight of their own legacies. Yet, their decline unfolds not as a tragedy, but as a story we all saw coming. Because the greatest threat to an ancient civilization isn’t invasion or economic collapse—it’s its own refusal to evolve.

Who Decides If a Society Is Failing or Succeeding?: Usually when people talk about success, they measure it in Western terms: GDP, democracy, and technological dominance. Yet, if those are the only measures we have, why does it feel like the USA is falling apart under the weight of inequality and political chaos? What are the reasons behind Europe’s struggle with demographic decline and the feeling of cultural stagnation? Even though ancient civilizations showed remarkable strength and endurance, they are often labeled as “failures.” The harsh reality? No civilization is immune to decline— but some are better at hiding it. The West’s real advantage isn’t moral superiority; it’s the ability to reinvent itself, sometimes violently, sometimes through revolution. Meanwhile, ancient societies cling to their past, mistaking longevity for vitality.

The fall of Rome birthed the Renaissance. The Ottomans’ collapse paved the way for reinvention. Babylon, the Abbasids, the Mughals— they all faded, but their influence lived on in what followed. No civilization was ever meant to be eternal; their purpose was to pass on their legacy. The question is not whether these societies will endure unchanged, but whether they will evolve or be erased. The choice is theirs: to shape history once more or to let it pass them by. For as the Zoroastrians understood, every ending is merely the beginning of something new the damage done by looking to the past

 

The Real Causes of Decline: One of the most insidious forces dragging these civilizations down is their obsession with the past. Where they once pioneered new ideas, they now cling to tradition as if it were sacred. China, for all its economic might, suppresses dissent under the weight of its imperial history, fearing that free thought might shatter its fragile narrative of continuity. The Indian subcontinent, home to some of the world’s earliest universities, now prioritizes rote memorization over critical thinking, as if the brilliance of ancient scholars were a relic rather than a foundation. In Egypt, the pyramids stand tall, a testament to the past, lovingly preserved through the ages. Yet, as these ancient structures endure, the heart of the nation— the very institutions that once thrived— seem to have faded away, neglected and forgotten. The Persians invented algebra, then let their universities decay. The Greeks birthed democracy, then surrendered to corruption. The Ottomans once terrified Europe— now they beg for EU membership.

Then there is the poison of perpetual victimhood. Indeed, colonialism was brutal. Indeed, foreign interference shattered nations. But when does accountability begin? Japan and Germany, both reduced to ruins in the 20th century, rebuilt themselves not by dwelling on their wounds but by looking forward. By contrast, some ancient civilizations remain trapped in a cycle of blame, using the injustices of the past to excuse the failures of the present. The Mongols burned your libraries—what’s your excuse 800 years later?
Compounding this problem is the selective embrace of modernity. These civilizations eagerly adopt Western technology— smartphones, satellites, advanced weaponry— while rejecting the cultural and intellectual frameworks that made such advancements possible. They want the benefits of progress without the uncomfortable process of change that produces them. It is a contradiction that cannot hold. A society cannot thrive on borrowed innovation forever; without fostering the conditions that allow for original thought, it will always be playing catch-up, never leading.

Perhaps the most damning failure is the erosion of meritocracy. These civilizations once rewarded talent and intellect— Persia’s legendary libraries, India’s mathematical breakthroughs, China’s imperial examinations— but today, many are dominated by nepotism, corruption, and rigid social hierarchies. It’s heartbreaking to watch the most talented individuals walk away, chasing dreams and opportunities that feel just out of reach.

Meanwhile, those left behind struggle in an environment that seems to prioritize who you know rather than what you can do, leaving them feeling trapped and undervalued. The result is a slow but steady drain of potential, a society that hemorrhages its best and brightest because it cannot or will not make room for them.

Is there a way forward? The answer isn’t blind Westernization— it’s self-reckoning. Success isn’t about mimicking another model; it’s about rediscovering what made these societies great in the first place. The choice is stark but simple: adapt or fade into irrelevance. These civilizations aren’t failing because of fate— they’re failing by choice. The choice to live in the past. The choice to fear the future. The choice to blame others rather than rebuild. They must dismantle corruption, ensure accountability, invest in sustainable industries, and prioritize critical thinking over rote memorization. Tradition must not be weaponized against progress, and historical grievances should be addressed through justice, not propaganda.

History does not remember civilizations for how long they lasted, but for what they contributed while they endured. The great societies of the past earned their place by pushing humanity forward. If their descendants wish to reclaim that legacy, they must do the same— not by clinging to ruins, but by building something worthy of their past.

The fall of Rome birthed the Renaissance. The Ottomans’ collapse paved the way for reinvention. Babylon, the Abbasids, the Mughals— they all faded, but their influence lived on in what followed. No civilization was ever meant to be eternal; their purpose was to pass on their legacy. The question is not whether these societies will endure unchanged, but whether they will evolve or be erased. The choice is theirs: to shape history once more or to let it pass them by. For as the Zoroastrians understood, every ending is merely the beginning of something new.

Assad Abbas
Assad Abbas
The writer retired as Press Secretary the the President, and is former Press Minister at Embassy of Paikistan to France and former MD, Shalimar Recording & Broadcasting Company Limited

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