Non-stop cremations cast doubt on India’s counting of Covid-19 dead

NEW DELHI: Gas and firewood furnaces at a crematorium in the western Indian state of Gujarat have been running so long without a break during the Covid-19 pandemic that metal parts have begun to melt.

“We are working around the clock at 100 percent capacity to cremate bodies on time,” Kamlesh Sailor, the president of the trust that runs the crematorium in the diamond-polishing city of Surat, told Reuters.

And with hospitals full and oxygen and medicines in short supply in an already creaky health system, several major cities are reporting far larger numbers of cremations and burials under coronavirus protocols than official Covid-19 death tolls, according to the crematorium and cemetery workers, media, and a review of government data.

India on Tuesday registered 259,170 new daily infections and 1,761 deaths. Its total number of cases now stands at more than 15 million, second only to the United States.

Reliable data is at the heart of any government response to the pandemic, without which planning for hospital vacancies, oxygen and medicine becomes difficult, experts say.

Government officials say the mismatch in death tallies may be caused by several factors, including over-caution.

A senior state health official said the increase in numbers of cremations had been due to bodies being cremated using Covid protocols “even if there is 0.1 percent probability of the person being positive”.

“In many cases, patients come to hospital in an extremely critical condition and die before they are tested, and there are instances where patients are brought dead to hospital, and we do not know if they are positive or not,” the official said.

‘VERY IRKSOME’:

But Bhramar Mukherjee, a professor of biostatistics and epidemiology at the University of Michigan, said many parts of India were in “data denial”.

“Everything is so muddy,” she said. “It feels like nobody understands the situation very clearly, and that’s very irksome.”

In Surat, Gujarat’s second-largest city, Sailor’s Kurukshetra crematorium and a second crematorium known as Umra have cremated more than 100 bodies a day under Covid protocols over the last week, far in excess of the city’s official daily Covid-19 death toll of around 25, according to interviews with workers.

Prashant Kabrawala, trustee of Narayan Trust, which manages a third city crematorium called Ashwinikumar, declined to provide the number of bodies received under Covid-19 protocols, but said cremations there had tripled in recent weeks.

“I have been regularly going to the crematorium since 1987, and been involved in its day-to-day functioning since 2005, but I haven’t seen so many dead bodies coming for cremation in all these years,” even during an outbreak of the bubonic plague in 1994 and floods in 2006.

Government spokesmen in Gujarat did not respond to requests for comment.

India is not the only country to have its coronavirus statistics questioned. But the testimony of workers and a growing body of academic literature suggest deaths in India are being underreported compared to other countries.

Mukherjee’s research of India’s first wave concludes that there were 11 times more infections than were reported, in line with estimates from studies in other countries. There were also between two and five times as many deaths than were reported, far in excess of global averages.

WORKING DAY AND NIGHT:

In Lucknow, the capital of the populous northern state of Uttar Pradesh, data from the largest Covid-only crematorium, Baikunthdham, shows double the number of bodies arriving on six different days in April than government data on Covid deaths for the entire city.

The figures do not take into account a second Covid-only crematorium in the city, or burials in the Muslim community that makes up a quarter of the city’s population.

Crematorium head Azad, who goes by only one name, said the number of cremations under Covid protocols had risen five-fold in recent weeks.

“We are working day and night,” he said. “The incinerators are running full time but still many people have to wait with the bodies for the last rites.”

A spokesman for the Uttar Pradesh government did not respond to a request for comment.

Elsewhere, India Today reported two crematoriums in Bhopal, the capital of the central state of Madhya Pradesh, 187 bodies were cremated following Covid protocols in four days this month, while the official Covid death toll stood at five.

Last week Sandesh, a Gujarati newspaper, counted 63 bodies leaving a single Covid-only hospital for burial in the state’s largest city, Ahmedabad, on a day where government data showed 20 coronavirus deaths.

The Lancet medical journal noted last year that four Indian states making up 65 percent of Covid fatalities nationally each registered 100 percent of their coronavirus deaths.

But fewer than a quarter of deaths in India are medically certified, particularly in rural areas, meaning the true Covid death rate in many of India’s 24 other states may never be known.

“Most of the deaths are not registered so it’s impossible to do a validation calculation,” Mukherjee said.

1 COMMENT

  1. Take the example of the Indian VAX disaster ! The daily cases are 3,00,000 ,an increase of 30 times in 45 days ,AFTER STARTING THE VAX,

    Y ?

    The GOI CLAIMS that 100 million Indians,over the age of 55,have been VAXED – but are these humans CREATING THE ANTIBODIES to stop THEIR INFECTION ? Is the VAX having the impact and how long will it last – EVEN for the CURRENT mutations !

    No one knows how many of the VAXED Indians have been INFECTED post VAX ! An ex- Indian PM who was vaxed 2wice is INFECTED.IT IS CERTAIN THAT PEOPLE BEYOND AN AGE AND/OR WITH MORBIDTIES ARE NOT GENERATING ANTIBODIES.

    None of the Indians beyond the age of 55 who were VAXED had an RTPCR or Antigen test – to see IF THEY WERE INFECTED OR HAD THE ANTIBODIES – so that those INFECTED could have their families tested for COVID and VAXED.

    The 300,000 daily cases are being infected AT LEAST IN PART by the VAXED 100 Million – which proves beyond doubt that EVEN THOSE with VAX antibodies,are SHEDDING THE VURUS and infecting the UNVAXED.

    70% of the daily cases are LESS THAN 45 Years – which means that the HUMANS whose NATURAL ANTIBODY FUNCTION should work – has failed ! No other nation in the world has this statistical disaster.There is NO dount that the VAX will FAIL on this populace.

    Meanwhile,India has LIMITED VAX capacity – and imported VAXES will not work !

    The Indian Numbers are BOGUS – it is safe to say that the daily cases are at least 6-700,00 and if the next 100 million VAXES takes 60 days,then taking a growth of 5 % a day ,you will have AT LEAST 60 Million new cases.By the time of the 3 rd leg of the 100 million VAXES, the case load will EXCEED THE VAXED Population !

    DISASTER !

    It is BETTER for the GOI to disclose the ACTUAL DAILY CASE LOAD AND DEATHS.PANIC IN INDIANS WILL “AT LEAST” MAKE THE INDIANS TAKE THE VAX – WHICH IS THE ONLY INDIAN PLAN !

    AND THAT PLAN WILL ALSO FAIL AS THE VAX WILL ALSO FAIL.

    COVID HAS HAD 15 MONTHS IN 1,3 BILLION INDIANS TO MUTATE – AND THOSE MUTATIONS ARE “NOT FACTORED” IN THE VAX.IN REALITY,THE VAX HAS NO HOPE ! dindooohindoo

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